My picks in the past have been pretty bad, up until last year. Where my bracket finally had some legitimacy, as I finished in the 93% percentile. The biggest reason? I correctly picked Richmond to the Sweet 16, VCU to the Elite 8 and Butler to the Final 4. Based on the recent trend my picks this year should be a total flop, but I'll give them to you anyway.
East
Biggest Upset: #12 Harvard over #5 Vanderbilt
Suprise: #12 Harvard to the Sweet 16
Midwest
Biggest Upset: #14 Belmont over #3 Georgetown
Suprise: #6 San Siego St. to Sweet 16
West
Biggest Upset: #12 Long Beach St. over #1 Michigan St. (Sweet 16)
Suprise: #6 Murray St. to Win Region (Go to Final 4)
South
Biggest Upset: #14 South Dakota St. over #3 Baylor
Suprise: #4 Indiana over #2 Duke/#1 Kentucky to Win Region (Go to Final 4)
Final 4
#4 Indiana over #6 Murray St.
#1 North Carolina over #1 Syracuse
National Championship: #1 North Carolina (66) over #4 Indiana (56)